Multiple Regression

What is Multiple Regression? Formula, Example, and Use in 2025

What is Multiple Regression? Formula, Example, and Use in 2025

Multiple Regression is an advanced statistical technique used to model the relationship between one dependent variable (the variable to be predicted) and two or more independent variables (factors that help in prediction). It describes a linear relationship and is widely used in 2025 for predictive analytics in fields like data science, machine learning, and business intelligence.

The result of Multiple Regression is an equation that predicts the dependent variable based on a combination of independent variables. Tools like Python, R, and SPSS are commonly used to perform these calculations.

When to Use Multiple Regression?

Multiple Regression is used when:

  • Predicting a Dependent Variable with Multiple Factors: For example, predicting a student’s exam scores (dependent) based on study hours, attendance, coaching, and online learning platform usage (independent) in 2025’s education landscape.
  • Linear Relationship Exists: There is a linear relationship between independent and dependent variables.
  • Causal Analysis: To understand the effect of independent variables on the dependent variable.
  • Examples (2025 Context):
    • Predicting house prices (dependent) based on size, location, age, and smart home features (independent).
    • Evaluating employee performance (dependent) based on experience, training, education, and AI tool proficiency (independent).

When Not to Use Multiple Regression?

Multiple Regression should not be used in the following cases:

  • Non-Linear Relationship: If the relationship between variables is non-linear, use non-linear regression or advanced machine learning models like neural networks (popular in 2025).
  • High Multicollinearity: If independent variables are highly correlated, results may be unreliable. Check using Variance Inflation Factor (VIF).
  • Non-Normal Residuals: If regression residuals do not follow a normal distribution, the model’s results may not be trustworthy.
  • Categorical Dependent Variable: If the dependent variable is categorical (e.g., Yes/No), use logistic regression or classification algorithms.

Multiple Regression Formula

\[ Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_1 + \beta_2 X_2 + \dots + \beta_k X_k + \epsilon \]

Where:

  • Y: Dependent variable (to be predicted).
  • \(\beta_0\): Intercept (value of Y when all independent variables are zero).
  • \(\beta_1, \beta_2, \dots, \beta_k\): Coefficients representing the effect of each independent variable.
  • \(X_1, X_2, \dots, X_k\): Independent variables.
  • \(\epsilon\): Error term (model inaccuracy).

Step-by-Step Example

Problem: A school wants to determine how exam marks (Y) depend on study hours (X1) and attendance percentage (X2) for 5 students. The data is as follows:

Student Study Hours (X1) Attendance % (X2) Exam Marks (Y)
1 5 90 85
2 3 80 70
3 6 95 90
4 4 85 78
5 2 75 65

Step 1: Define the Model

The model will be:

\[ Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_1 + \beta_2 X_2 + \epsilon \]

Here, Y = Exam Marks, X1 = Study Hours, X2 = Attendance %.

Step 2: Calculate Coefficients

To calculate the coefficients (\(\beta_0, \beta_1, \beta_2\)) for Multiple Regression, we use the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. This involves complex calculations typically performed using software (e.g., Python, R, or SPSS). For this example, assume the software provided these results:

\[ \beta_0 = 10, \quad \beta_1 = 5, \quad \beta_2 = 0.6 \]

Thus, the model is:

\[ Y = 10 + 5X_1 + 0.6X_2 \]

Step 3: Use the Model (Prediction)

For Student 1 (X1 = 5, X2 = 90):

\[ Y = 10 + 5(5) + 0.6(90) \]

\[ = 10 + 25 + 54 = 89 \]

Actual marks = 85, predicted = 89 (slight error).

For Student 5 (X1 = 2, X2 = 75):

\[ Y = 10 + 5(2) + 0.6(75) \]

\[ = 10 + 10 + 45 = 65 \]

Actual marks = 65, predicted = 65 (accurate).

Step 4: Interpret the Model

The equation \( Y = 10 + 5X_1 + 0.6X_2 \) means:

  • \(\beta_0 = 10\): If study hours and attendance are zero, the baseline marks are 10.
  • \(\beta_1 = 5\): Each additional study hour increases marks by 5 units (holding attendance constant).
  • \(\beta_2 = 0.6\): A 1% increase in attendance percentage increases marks by 0.6 units (holding study hours constant).

Step 5: Check Model Accuracy

The accuracy of Multiple Regression is measured using (coefficient of determination). Assume the software reported R² = 0.92, meaning 92% of the variance in exam marks can be explained by study hours and attendance. This indicates a strong model.

Summary

Multiple Regression: Predicts a dependent variable using multiple independent variables, crucial for 2025’s data-driven decision-making.

Use: When predicting a variable using multiple factors, e.g., exam marks based on study hours and attendance.

Avoid: In cases of non-linear relationships, high multicollinearity, or categorical dependent variables.

Example: Predicted exam marks using study hours and attendance, model: \( Y = 10 + 5X_1 + 0.6X_2 \), R² = 0.92.

Formula:

\[ Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_1 + \beta_2 X_2 + \dots + \beta_k X_k + \epsilon \]

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